Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.017639 0.022205 0.028256 0.037139 0.050367 0.070298 0.104790
2025-01-19 0.012889 0.017967 0.025819 0.039828 0.066860 0.124617 0.293364
2025-01-26 0.010855 0.016206 0.025424 0.044526 0.090623 0.231591 1.089262
2025-02-02 0.009550 0.015023 0.025293 0.049449 0.121395 0.451638 8.361261
2025-02-09 0.008219 0.013371 0.023599 0.049864 0.141666 0.753530 478.756946
2025-02-16 0.007245 0.012119 0.022264 0.050408 0.164869 1.335870 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006465 0.011061 0.021010 0.050504 0.188413 2.494381 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005676 0.009839 0.019055 0.047470 0.192472 3.730702 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005114 0.008987 0.017777 0.046079 0.205871 6.892347 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004751 0.008497 0.017264 0.047129 0.240905 23.444405 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004412 0.008003 0.016625 0.047434 0.274074 145.280912 NaN
2025-03-30 0.004042 0.007391 0.015553 0.045542 0.283877 1438.929487 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003692 0.006831 0.014645 0.044553 0.312214 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003509 0.006627 0.014689 0.047979 0.426367 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003401 0.006578 0.015168 0.054082 0.672531 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003294 0.006511 0.015581 0.060550 1.113068 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003090 0.006173 0.015044 0.061099 1.414360 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002912 0.005876 0.014576 0.061818 1.841713 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002745 0.005587 0.014066 0.061946 2.355771 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002542 0.005180 0.013074 0.057941 2.301747 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002386 0.004884 0.012420 0.056115 2.560646 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002285 0.004719 0.012197 0.057493 3.672031 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002181 0.004536 0.011875 0.057894 5.024759 NaN NaN